COURSE UNIT TITLE

: TIME SERIES ECONOMETRICS

Description of Individual Course Units

Course Unit Code Course Unit Title Type Of Course D U L ECTS
ECO 4511 TIME SERIES ECONOMETRICS ELECTIVE 3 0 0 6

Offered By

Economics (English)

Level of Course Unit

First Cycle Programmes (Bachelor's Degree)

Course Coordinator

PROFESSOR DOCTOR ADNAN KASMAN

Offered to

Economics (English)

Course Objective

The objective of the course is to skills for dealing with univariate and multivariate time series modeling of economic and financial data. Stationary and nonstationary time series with unit roots, AR, MA, ARMA and ARIMA models, cointegration, error correction models, VAR and causality are the main topics to be covered.. The use of computer is an integrated part of the course. Students are expected to prepare a term project to demonstrate their skills developed in the course.

Learning Outcomes of the Course Unit

1   Be able to collect raw data related to economic and financial, and make them ready for statistical and econometric analysis.
2   Demonstrate understanding of building time series models that describe the data generating process behind data.
3   Identify problems with existing time series models so that the learner could employ appropriate econometric tools to solve the problem.
4   Be able to interpret the estimation results so that the learner can draw implications from the results.
5   .Demonstrate engaging an independent empirical research in order to prepare a tem project.

Mode of Delivery

Face -to- Face

Prerequisites and Co-requisites

ECO 3001 - ECONOMETRICS

Recomended Optional Programme Components

None

Course Contents

Week Subject Description
1 Math and Statistics Review
2 Time Series and their characteristics
3 Linear time series analysis and its application
4 Linear time series analysis and its application
5 Conditional heteroscedastic models
6 Conditional heteroscedastic models
7 Conditional heteroscedastic models
8 Multivariate time series analysis and its applications
9 Multivariate time series analysis and its applications
10 Multivariate time series analysis and its applications
11 Multivariate volatility models and their applications
12 Multivariate volatility models and their applications
13 Problem Solving
14 Review

Recomended or Required Reading

1.Ruey S. Tsay, Analysis of Financial Time Series, 2 nd Ed. Willey, 2005
2.Lecture Notes

Planned Learning Activities and Teaching Methods

1.Lectures
2.Class Discussions
3.Term Project

Assessment Methods

SORTING NUMBER SHORT CODE LONG CODE FORMULA
1 MT Midterm
2 FN Final
3 FCG FINAL COURSE GRADE MT * 0.40 + FN * 0.60
4 RST RESIT
5 FCGR FINAL COURSE GRADE (RESIT) MT * 0.40 + RST * 0.60


Further Notes About Assessment Methods

1.Assignment
2.Final

Assessment Criteria

1.The learner will use necessary statistical and time series econometric tools to engage independent research.
2.The learner will clearly recognize the problems with existing econometric models
3.The learner will build time series econometric models for estimation purposes
4.The learner will interpret empirical results
5.The learner will draw some policy implications from estimation results

Language of Instruction

English

Course Policies and Rules

1. Attending at least 70 percent of lectures is mandatory.
2. Plagiarism of any type will result in disciplinary action.

Contact Details for the Lecturer(s)

To be announced.

Office Hours

To be announced.

Work Placement(s)

None

Workload Calculation

Activities Number Time (hours) Total Work Load (hours)
Lectures 14 3 42
Tutorials 12 1 12
Preparations before/after weekly lectures 12 2 24
Preparation for midterm exam 1 15 15
Preparation for final exam 1 15 15
Preparing assignments 1 40 40
Final 1 2 2
Midterm 1 2 2
TOTAL WORKLOAD (hours) 152

Contribution of Learning Outcomes to Programme Outcomes

PO/LOPO.1PO.2PO.3PO.4PO.5PO.6PO.7PO.8PO.9PO.10PO.11PO.12PO.13PO.14
LO.15455
LO.255455
LO.3555
LO.445
LO.5535